Research: Equities, Foreign Exchange, Options, Macroeconomics & Volatility

Market Re-Search

Home
Search
Register premium membership
Login
Discord Membership
Subscription portal
About
Donate
Disclaimer
Books recommendations

Subscribe

macroeconomics

Warsh Turns Hawkish at Jackson Hole: Rate Hike Ahead? 5y/5y Flat, Regime Risk Underpriced

Warsh Turns Hawkish at Jackson Hole: Rate Hike Ahead? 5y/5y Flat, Regime Risk Underpriced

Fed Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole Hawkish Signal: Can The Fed Hike Without Bankrupting the State? Where to begin, that's right. Kevin Warsh is the new Fed Chair. Before he got the job, Kevin Warsh said for years that the Fed talks too much and got sloppy on

By Romano Sep 1, 2026

Market insight - 17 Nov 2025

Market insight - 17 Nov 2025

Last Friday was a bit mixed, with the SPX500 falling and then rallying in the last minute. That same pattern looked so familiar, like I've seen many times. Just when one thinks "we are so back" is right where risk should be taken off the table.

By Romano Nov 17, 2025

The Invisible Hand Meets the Visible Fist: Yield Curve Control

The Invisible Hand Meets the Visible Fist: Yield Curve Control

Over the last century, there have been 14 major bull markets in US equities. On average, those cycles have lasted just under 5 years and delivered 177% gains. S&P500 could go over ~9000 by the end of 2027 Actually, if we project that same trajectory onto today, we

By Romano Sep 18, 2025

Cutting Into Strength

Cutting Into Strength

The market expects the Fed to start easing rates, not because of a crisis, but while stocks and GDP are growing. That's rare, but hear me out. As long as the Fed is cutting into strength, the market's instinct is to chase risk higher. The risk-

By Romano Sep 18, 2025

Pedal To The Metal?

Pedal To The Metal?

The FOMC held rates at 4.25 - 4.5% as expected. Governors Waller and Bowman dissent in favor of a 25-bps cut. That's the first time since 1993 that two Governors dissented from the policy decision. The Fed lowered its growth outlook, saying that “growth of economic

By Romano Aug 1, 2025

Duration Cracks, who cares what about my equities and crypto?

Duration Cracks, who cares what about my equities and crypto?

While the US equity markets had been trading "as if" the US is no longer a top-tier credit for some time, Moody's formal downgrade last Friday reinforces that perception and introduces constraints for investors bound by ratings-based mandates. https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/

By Romano May 22, 2025

From Left-Tail to Left Sidelined

From Left-Tail to Left Sidelined

Markets are scrambling to recalibrate after an unexpected, dramatic rollback from the U.S. and China over the weekend. In a move that exceeded expectations, the U.S. slashed tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30%, while China reciprocated with a drop from 125% to just 10%. Disclaimer: I

By Romano May 14, 2025

Subscribe to Market Re-Search

Sign up now for a premium subscription. Exclusive access to financial market research content about bitcoin, cryptocurrency, stocks, options, macroeconomics, forex & volatility

Sign up
Login
Membership

Risk is an inherent part of life, so we cannot eliminate it entirely; however, we can shift it.