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Market insight - 17 Nov 2025

Market insight - 17 Nov 2025

Last Friday was a bit mixed, with the SPX500 falling and then rallying in the last minute. That same pattern looked so familiar, like I've seen many times. Just when one thinks "we are so back" is right where risk should be taken off the table.

By Romano Nov 17, 2025

From Left-Tail to Left Sidelined

From Left-Tail to Left Sidelined

Markets are scrambling to recalibrate after an unexpected, dramatic rollback from the U.S. and China over the weekend. In a move that exceeded expectations, the U.S. slashed tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30%, while China reciprocated with a drop from 125% to just 10%. Disclaimer: I

By Romano May 14, 2025

Exceptional No More: The U.S. Lost Its Halo

Exceptional No More: The U.S. Lost Its Halo

For much of the 20th and 21st centuries, the United States has enjoyed a unique position of financial dominance over the rest of the world. This is what's called "U.S. exceptionalism," implied by the phrase itself, but not only superior economic performance, but also structural

By Romano Apr 16, 2025

Market Pullback Playbook - April 6th, 2025

Market Pullback Playbook - April 6th, 2025

The market absolutely collapsed in the past 30 days. I don't have to do a recap on this. I assume you know what happened. But just a quick rundown, anyway. President Trump’s new tariff announcement was more aggressive than expected, with headline rates jumping as high as

By Romano Apr 6, 2025

An Engineered Recession? - March 10th, 2025

An Engineered Recession? - March 10th, 2025

The latest ISM data signals stagflation and adds to the growth narrative, putting pressure on market sentiment. Trump's latest tariff-related decisions/actions further intensified concerns. Meanwhile, there's a risk of a government shutdown (as far as I know). Recent ISM data shows manufacturing stagnation (+0.1%

By Romano Mar 10, 2025

Why I am investing in Meta

Why I am investing in Meta

Many still associate Meta exclusively with Facebook. I used to be one of those people until yesterday. Yesterday, I was at the dentist but decided to buy META on my phone when I accidentally bought 100x more shares than I was supposed to. This was needed for me to see

By Romano Jan 15, 2025

Goldman Sachs - Blackpilled - 'Lost decade' risk

Goldman Sachs - Blackpilled - 'Lost decade' risk

The S&P 500 has undoubtedly been a source of long-term wealth. Over the past four decades, asset prices experienced one of the most significant growth periods in financial history. More than 90% of the price appreciation in traditional equity-bond portfolios over the last 90 years occurred between 1984

By Romano Oct 24, 2024

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Risk is an inherent part of life, so we cannot eliminate it entirely; however, we can shift it.