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Romano

May 16, 2022
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Pedal To The Metal?

Pedal To The Metal?

The FOMC held rates at 4.25 - 4.5% as expected. Governors Waller and Bowman dissent in favor of a 25-bps cut. That's the first time since 1993 that two Governors dissented from the policy decision. The Fed lowered its growth outlook, saying that “growth of economic
By Romano Aug 1, 2025
From Left-Tail to Left Sidelined

From Left-Tail to Left Sidelined

Markets are scrambling to recalibrate after an unexpected, dramatic rollback from the U.S. and China over the weekend. In a move that exceeded expectations, the U.S. slashed tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30%, while China reciprocated with a drop from 125% to just 10%. Disclaimer: I
By Romano May 14, 2025
Handcuffed perpetual optimism

Handcuffed perpetual optimism

The Trump tariff "step-downs" may have taken the edge off of the worst-case trade war scenarios. Between the Treasury Bessent floating interventionist tools (including the "not-so-subtle nod to buybacks) and Waller softening up the Federal Reserve tone, there's a clear effort to engineer a sentiment
By Romano Apr 21, 2025

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Risk is an inherent part of life, so we cannot eliminate it entirely; however, we can shift it.